{"id":"regime-bear-defense","category":"regime_strategy","title":"Bear Regime Defense Playbook","summary":"Capital preservation, short bias tactics, defensive rotation in bear markets.","trigger":{"always":false,"sectors":[],"tickers":[],"regimes":["trending_bear","high_vol"]},"ttl_hours":24,"content":{"verdict":"Bear regime active. Defensive posture required. Probability of continued downside elevated.","preserve_capital":["Reduce position sizes to 50% of normal","Raise cash to 30-40% of portfolio","Avoid new long entries — wait for regime confirmation before re-entry"],"defensive_rotation":{"overweight":["Consumer Staples","Healthcare","Utilities"],"underweight":["Technology","Consumer Discretionary","Communication"],"avoid":["Industrials","Materials","Financials"]},"bear_signals_to_watch":["SPY holding below 200MA — key confirmation of bear regime","VIX sustained above 25 — elevated fear level","High yield (HYG) declining — credit stress spreading"],"re_entry_signal":"Wait for SPY reclaim of 200MA on volume + VIX below 20"}}