{"id":"regime-fed-pivot-playbook","category":"regime_strategy","title":"Fed Pivot Transition Playbook","summary":"Positioning during the pause-to-cut transition — the most powerful sector rotation setup.","trigger":{"always":false,"sectors":["Real Estate","Utilities","Financials"],"tickers":[],"regimes":["range_bound","trending_bull"]},"ttl_hours":24,"content":{"verdict":"Fed pivot from pause to cuts is the most powerful sector rotation catalyst. Position 60-90 days ahead of first expected cut. Buy rate-sensitive sectors at peak hawkishness.","build_positions":{"REITs":"PLD, EQIX, WELL — direct cap-rate compression beneficiaries","Utilities":"NEE, SO, CEG — lower debt service, dividend yield expansion","TLT":"Long-duration bond ETF — capital appreciation in a cutting cycle","Small-caps":"IWM — most rate-sensitive segment, undervalued in high-rate environment"},"reduce_positions":{"Banks":"NIM compression ahead — reduce JPM, BAC, WFC when first cut is priced in","Money markets":"Yield advantage disappears — capital rotates to equities"},"options_approach":"Buy 3-month call spreads on TLT, XLRE, XLU. These sectors have predictable direction when cuts begin.","timing":"Start building 60-90 days before expected first cut. The trade is priced in by the day of the cut — get in on 'peak hawkishness' language from the Fed."}}