Agentberg Terminal v0.3

Agent Skills

80 skills · 24h cache

Synthesised market intelligence that any agent can pull in one call — sector outlooks, investment theses, macro signals, regime playbooks, and risk frameworks. Backed by live data, not training data.

Critical — Auto-synced on Agent Boot

These three skills are bundled into /skills/core and loaded automatically every time an agent starts. No manual call needed.

regime
JSON ↗

Market regime classification: trending_bull / trending_bear / range_bound / high_vol — with strategy verdict and SPY/VIX data.

GET /skills/regime
risk-calendar
JSON ↗

Known catalysts in the next 14 days: FOMC, CPI, OpEx, major earnings — with impact ratings and position sizing guidance.

GET /skills/risk-calendar
health
JSON ↗

Market internals: breadth (SPY vs RSP), credit (HYG trend), volatility (VIX vs avg) → healthy / mixed / stressed label with sizing recommendation.

GET /skills/health
# Starter kit — auto-called on every boot
agentberg.get_skills() GET /skills/core
# Returns bundled regime + risk_calendar + health in one call

Skill Catalog — 80 Skills

GET /skills/manifest  ·  GET /skills/catalog/{id}

Agents fetch the manifest once, select only the skills relevant to their watchlist and regime, then request full content on demand. A 5-sector agent should load 5-10 skills per run — never all 80.

Sector Context

11 skills
Technology Sector Context
sector-technology
JSON ↗

AI infrastructure cycle, semiconductor dynamics, cloud spend, and valuation. Sector +30.8% YTD (2026-09).

Technology AAPL MSFT NVDA AMD +7
GET /skills/catalog/sector-technology  ·  cache 168h
Healthcare Sector Context
sector-healthcare
JSON ↗

Biosimilar wave, drug pricing regulation, managed care dynamics, biotech pipeline. Sector +6.8% YTD (2026-09).

Health Care Healthcare UNH CVS ABT JNJ +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-healthcare  ·  cache 168h
Financials Sector Context
sector-financials
JSON ↗

Rate environment impact, credit quality, bank NIM dynamics, capital markets. Sector +17.5% YTD (2026-09).

Financials JPM BAC GS MS +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-financials  ·  cache 168h
Energy Sector Context
sector-energy
JSON ↗

Energy sector +45.5% YTD. The energy sector maintains top-performing market leadership supported by sustained commodity prices, disciplined capital allocation, and strong cash return policies.

Energy XOM CVX COP SLB +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-energy  ·  cache 168h
Communication Services Context
sector-communication
JSON ↗

Digital advertising cycle, streaming competition, AI-driven ad targeting. Sector -4.3% YTD (2026-09).

Communication Services Communication META GOOGL NFLX DIS +5
GET /skills/catalog/sector-communication  ·  cache 168h
Consumer Discretionary Sector Context
sector-consumer-discretionary
JSON ↗

Bifurcated consumer, stretched credit, moderating labor market. Sector -5.4% YTD (2026-09).

Consumer Discretionary AMZN TSLA HD MCD +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-consumer-discretionary  ·  cache 168h
Consumer Staples Sector Context
sector-consumer-staples
JSON ↗

Defensive bid, pricing power, GLP-1 portfolio adaptation pressure. Sector +7.3% YTD (2026-09).

Consumer Staples KO PEP WMT COST +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-consumer-staples  ·  cache 168h
Industrials Sector Context
sector-industrials
JSON ↗

AI power demand, onshoring capex, aerospace backlog -- secular tailwinds. Sector +11.2% YTD (2026-09).

Industrials CAT DE HON RTX +9
GET /skills/catalog/sector-industrials  ·  cache 168h
Materials Sector Context
sector-materials
JSON ↗

Copper structural deficit, gold safe-haven, infrastructure baseline demand. Sector +12.2% YTD (2026-09).

Materials FCX NEM LIN APD +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-materials  ·  cache 168h
Real Estate Sector Context
sector-real-estate
JSON ↗

K-shaped recovery: data center REITs booming, office structurally impaired. Sector +7.6% YTD (2026-09).

Real Estate PLD EQIX AMT SPG +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-real-estate  ·  cache 168h
Utilities Sector Context
sector-utilities
JSON ↗

AI power demand reverses decades of stagnant load growth -- structural tailwind. Sector +4.5% YTD (2026-09).

Utilities NEE DUK SO D +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-utilities  ·  cache 168h

Investment Theses

17 skills
AI Infrastructure Supercycle
thesis-ai-infrastructure
JSON ↗

Hyperscaler capex, semiconductor demand, power and cooling, edge inference buildout.

trending_bull range_bound NVDA AMD MSFT AMZN +8
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-ai-infrastructure  ·  cache 336h
Rate Normalization Trade
thesis-rate-environment
JSON ↗

Fed still paused at 3.50-3.75%; oil collapse may bring forward cuts — rate-sensitive sector pre-positioning window.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials O AMT PLD NEE +7
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-rate-environment  ·  cache 168h
GLP-1 Obesity Drug Supercycle
thesis-glp1-obesity
JSON ↗

Expanding indications, oral formulations, and second-order effects on retail/food.

Health Care Healthcare Consumer Staples +1 more LLY NVO VKTX ISRG +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-glp1-obesity  ·  cache 336h
Nuclear Energy Renaissance
thesis-nuclear-renaissance
JSON ↗

AI hyperscalers funding nuclear restarts; SMRs approaching commercialization.

trending_bull range_bound Utilities Energy Industrials CEG CCJ OKLO NXE +3
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-nuclear-renaissance  ·  cache 336h
Defense Spending Supercycle
thesis-defense-spending
JSON ↗

Multipolar geopolitical realignment driving multi-decade NATO and Indo-Pacific procurement growth.

Industrials LMT RTX NOC GD +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-defense-spending  ·  cache 336h
Power Grid Modernization for AI
thesis-grid-modernization
JSON ↗

Trillions in grid capex as AI datacenter load growth hits physical infrastructure bottleneck.

Industrials Utilities ETN GEV PWR HUBB +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-grid-modernization  ·  cache 336h
US Manufacturing Reshoring Wave
thesis-reshoring
JSON ↗

CHIPS Act, IRA, and tariffs driving domestic factory construction and automation demand.

Industrials Materials Technology CAT ROK URI DE +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-reshoring  ·  cache 336h
Cybersecurity AI Arms Race
thesis-cybersecurity
JSON ↗

AI-weaponized attacks rendering legacy security obsolete — platform consolidation accelerating.

Technology PANW CRWD ZS FTNT +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-cybersecurity  ·  cache 336h
De-dollarization and Hard Asset Run
thesis-dedollarization
JSON ↗

Central bank reserve diversification away from fiat driving gold and commodity bull market.

Materials Energy GLD NEM AEM FNV +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-dedollarization  ·  cache 336h
Aging Population Healthcare Demand
thesis-aging-population
JSON ↗

Baby Boomer cohort entering peak chronic disease and elective procedure years.

Health Care Healthcare Real Estate WELL ISRG UNH HCA +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-aging-population  ·  cache 336h
EV and Battery Storage Transition
thesis-ev-battery
JSON ↗

EV adoption normalizing; battery storage for grid and datacenters is the faster-growing leg.

Consumer Discretionary Materials Utilities TSLA ALB SQM RIVN +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-ev-battery  ·  cache 336h
Water Scarcity and Infrastructure
thesis-water-scarcity
JSON ↗

Aging water infrastructure and drought frequency creating multi-decade upgrade cycle.

Utilities Industrials AWK XYL WTRG ECL +2
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-water-scarcity  ·  cache 336h
Fintech and Digital Finance Disruption
thesis-fintech-disruption
JSON ↗

Embedded finance and AI underwriting displacing traditional banks in high-margin segments.

Financials Technology V MA SQ AFRM +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-fintech-disruption  ·  cache 336h
China Risk and Supply Chain Decoupling
thesis-china-risk
JSON ↗

US-China tension escalation and China economic slowdown — defensive positioning framework.

Technology Consumer Discretionary Materials AAPL NVDA QCOM NKE +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-china-risk  ·  cache 168h
Commercial Space Economy
thesis-space-economy
JSON ↗

Launch cost collapse enabling satellite broadband, earth observation, and LEO services.

Industrials Communication Services Technology RKLB ASTS LUNR NOC +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-space-economy  ·  cache 336h
Institutional Crypto Adoption
thesis-crypto-institutional
JSON ↗

Bitcoin ETF infrastructure enabling sovereign wealth, pension, and corporate treasury adoption.

trending_bull range_bound Financials Technology COIN MSTR HOOD SQ +3
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-crypto-institutional  ·  cache 168h
Semiconductor Cycle and TSMC Dependency
thesis-semiconductor-cycle
JSON ↗

AI chip demand distorting the classic semi cycle; foundry geopolitics is the critical risk.

Technology TSM ASML AMAT LRCX +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-semiconductor-cycle  ·  cache 336h

Commodities

6 skills
WTI Crude Oil Market Context
commodity-oil
JSON ↗

WTI ~$104/bbl. Crude oil surged today following supply disruptions in the Middle East, including a drone strike forcing the shutdown of Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline. Escalating security risks along key Red Sea transit corridors and ongoing inventory drawdowns further intensified market supply fears.

Energy XOM CVX COP EOG +6
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-oil  ·  cache 24h
Natural Gas Market Context
commodity-natural-gas
JSON ↗

AI power demand and LNG exports creating structural demand floor under weak prices.

Energy Utilities EQT AR SWN RRC +4
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-natural-gas  ·  cache 24h
Gold Market Context
commodity-gold
JSON ↗

De-dollarization and central bank buying driving structurally higher gold prices.

trending_bear high_vol Materials GLD NEM AEM FNV +4
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-gold  ·  cache 24h
Copper Market Context
commodity-copper
JSON ↗

Structural deficit as electrification demand outpaces supply — smelting bottlenecks amplifying.

Materials Industrials FCX SCCO TECK CMMC +3
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-copper  ·  cache 24h
Uranium Market Context
commodity-uranium
JSON ↗

Nuclear renaissance and mine underproduction driving structural bull market in uranium.

Energy Utilities CCJ NXE UEC DNN +3
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-uranium  ·  cache 168h
Lithium Market Context
commodity-lithium
JSON ↗

Recovering from oversupply trough; ESS demand is faster-growing than EV.

Materials Consumer Discretionary ALB SQM LTHM LAC +2
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-lithium  ·  cache 168h

Macro & Rates

8 skills
Yield Curve (2s10s) Signal
macro-yield-curve
JSON ↗

2Y-10Y Treasury spread as a leading indicator for recession, credit, and sector rotation.

Financials Real Estate Utilities TLT IEF SHY JPM +4
GET /skills/catalog/macro-yield-curve  ·  cache 24h
US Dollar (DXY) Strength Signal
macro-dollar-strength
JSON ↗

Dollar strength headwinds for international revenue, commodities, and EM.

Technology Materials Energy +1 more AAPL MSFT NVDA META +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-dollar-strength  ·  cache 24h
Credit Spreads (HYG/LQD) Risk Signal
macro-credit-spreads
JSON ↗

High yield vs investment grade spread as the most reliable liquidity and default risk indicator.

HYG LQD JNK IEF +1
GET /skills/catalog/macro-credit-spreads  ·  cache 24h
Inflation Regime Context
macro-inflation-regime
JSON ↗

Core CPI stickiness at 2.7% delaying Fed cuts — impact by sector.

Consumer Staples Real Estate Utilities +1 more TLT IEF TIPS O +3
GET /skills/catalog/macro-inflation-regime  ·  cache 24h
Fed Pivot Playbook
macro-fed-pivot
JSON ↗

Positioning for when Fed resumes cutting — rate-sensitive sector rotation framework.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials TLT IEF O PLD +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-fed-pivot  ·  cache 24h
Labor Market Signal
macro-jobs-market
JSON ↗

NFP and unemployment as the Fed's primary trigger — hot vs cold jobs mean opposite trades.

Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Financials SPY QQQ XLY XLP +1
GET /skills/catalog/macro-jobs-market  ·  cache 24h
China Economic Signal
macro-china-economy
JSON ↗

China PMI and growth as a leading indicator for global commodities and EM.

Materials Energy Technology +1 more FCX XOM CLF NUE +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-china-economy  ·  cache 24h
Geopolitical Risk Framework
macro-geopolitical-risk
JSON ↗

Middle East, US-China, and Russia-Ukraine risk premium across sectors.

high_vol trending_bear Energy Industrials Technology XOM CVX LMT RTX +4
GET /skills/catalog/macro-geopolitical-risk  ·  cache 24h

Volatility

5 skills
VIX-Based Position Sizing
vol-vix-levels
JSON ↗

Scale position size inversely with VIX using K_vix = VIX_baseline / VIX_current.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/vol-vix-levels  ·  cache 24h
IV Rank and IV Percentile
vol-iv-rank
JSON ↗

Where current IV sits relative to its own history — determines sell vs buy premium.

GET /skills/catalog/vol-iv-rank  ·  cache 168h
Earnings Options Strategies
vol-earnings-plays
JSON ↗

Pre-earnings IV run-up vs post-earnings IV crush — two distinct strategy windows.

AAPL MSFT NVDA AMZN +6
GET /skills/catalog/vol-earnings-plays  ·  cache 168h
VIX Term Structure and Futures Curve
vol-term-structure
JSON ↗

Contango vs backwardation in VIX futures as a regime stress indicator.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/vol-term-structure  ·  cache 24h
Options Skew Signal
vol-skew
JSON ↗

Put vs call skew reveals directional sentiment and hedging pressure.

GET /skills/catalog/vol-skew  ·  cache 168h

Options Strategies

3 skills
The Options Wheel Strategy
options-wheel
JSON ↗

Sell CSP → take assignment → sell CC → repeat. Income generation on quality stocks.

trending_bull range_bound AAPL MSFT SPY QQQ +4
GET /skills/catalog/options-wheel  ·  cache 336h
Covered Call Income Strategy
options-covered-calls
JSON ↗

Sell calls above current price on existing holdings to generate 1-3% monthly income.

trending_bull range_bound
GET /skills/catalog/options-covered-calls  ·  cache 336h
Protective Puts as Portfolio Insurance
options-protective-puts
JSON ↗

Buy OTM puts on holdings or SPY/QQQ as tail-risk insurance during low-VIX periods.

trending_bull range_bound SPY QQQ
GET /skills/catalog/options-protective-puts  ·  cache 336h

Regime Playbooks

7 skills
Bear Regime Defense Playbook
regime-bear-defense
JSON ↗

Capital preservation, short bias tactics, defensive rotation in bear markets.

trending_bear high_vol
GET /skills/catalog/regime-bear-defense  ·  cache 24h
Bull Momentum Regime Playbook
regime-bull-momentum
JSON ↗

Trend-following, full position sizing, buy breakouts and sector leaders.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/regime-bull-momentum  ·  cache 24h
Range-Bound Regime Playbook
regime-range-bound-playbook
JSON ↗

Mean reversion, premium selling, iron condors — trend strategies fail here.

range_bound
GET /skills/catalog/regime-range-bound-playbook  ·  cache 24h
High Volatility Regime Playbook
regime-high-vol-playbook
JSON ↗

Capital preservation first. Sell premium on quality names, watch for mean reversion.

high_vol
GET /skills/catalog/regime-high-vol-playbook  ·  cache 24h
Fed Pivot Transition Playbook
regime-fed-pivot-playbook
JSON ↗

Positioning during the pause-to-cut transition — the most powerful sector rotation setup.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials
GET /skills/catalog/regime-fed-pivot-playbook  ·  cache 24h
Earnings Season Playbook
regime-earnings-season
JSON ↗

January, April, July, October — reduce single-stock risk, increase ETF exposure.

GET /skills/catalog/regime-earnings-season  ·  cache 24h
Year-End Seasonality Playbook
regime-year-end
JSON ↗

Tax-loss harvesting (Nov), Santa rally (Dec), January effect (Jan) — repeatable patterns.

GET /skills/catalog/regime-year-end  ·  cache 168h

Individual Tickers

10 skills
NVIDIA (NVDA) — AI Infrastructure Monopoly
ticker-nvda
JSON ↗

80%+ GPU market share in AI training; Blackwell cycle; pricing power through 2027.

NVDA
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-nvda  ·  cache 336h
Apple (AAPL) — Services Flywheel and AI Upgrade Cycle
ticker-aapl
JSON ↗

Services revenue growing 15%+ YoY; iPhone AI features driving replacement cycle.

AAPL
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-aapl  ·  cache 336h
Microsoft (MSFT) — Azure + Copilot AI Monetization
ticker-msft
JSON ↗

Azure accelerating with AI workloads; GitHub Copilot enterprise adoption ramping.

MSFT
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-msft  ·  cache 336h
Meta Platforms (META) — Ad Machine + AI Infrastructure
ticker-meta
JSON ↗

AI ad targeting driving CPM expansion; Llama models as open-source moat.

META
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-meta  ·  cache 336h
Tesla (TSLA) — FSD Optionality vs EV Competition
ticker-tsla
JSON ↗

FSD and Robotaxi are the long-term value driver; EV manufacturing remains the cash engine.

TSLA
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-tsla  ·  cache 336h
Amazon (AMZN) — AWS Profit Engine + Advertising Breakout
ticker-amzn
JSON ↗

AWS is 75%+ of operating profit; advertising is the fastest-growing high-margin segment.

AMZN
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-amzn  ·  cache 336h
Alphabet (GOOGL) — Search Monopoly Under AI Disruption
ticker-googl
JSON ↗

Search generates $200B+ revenue; AI Overviews risk offset by YouTube and GCP growth.

GOOGL GOOG
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-googl  ·  cache 336h
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) — Best-in-Class Mega Bank
ticker-jpm
JSON ↗

Diversified revenue, capital markets revival, and fortress balance sheet.

JPM
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-jpm  ·  cache 336h
Eli Lilly (LLY) — GLP-1 Leader and Pipeline Depth
ticker-lly
JSON ↗

Mounjaro/Zepbound dominating obesity market; cardiovascular and Alzheimer pipeline.

LLY
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-lly  ·  cache 336h
ExxonMobil (XOM) — Integrated Supermajor and Pioneer Synergies
ticker-xom
JSON ↗

Pioneer acquisition accretive; $20B/year buyback; AI power creating natural gas long-term tailwind.

XOM
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-xom  ·  cache 336h

Risk Management

5 skills
Position Sizing Framework
risk-position-sizing
JSON ↗

Regime and health overlays on base 5% per position — the math behind staying in the game.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-position-sizing  ·  cache 168h
Sector Concentration Limits
risk-sector-concentration
JSON ↗

Maximum sector exposure rules to prevent correlated sector blowups.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-sector-concentration  ·  cache 168h
Portfolio Correlation Management
risk-correlation
JSON ↗

Avoid correlated bets — in crises, all correlations go to 1.0.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/risk-correlation  ·  cache 168h
Maximum Drawdown Rules
risk-max-drawdown
JSON ↗

Hard stops at the portfolio level before individual position stops — protect survival.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/risk-max-drawdown  ·  cache 168h
Stop-Loss Calibration by Regime
risk-stop-loss-calibration
JSON ↗

Fixed stops cause unnecessary exits in volatile markets; dynamic stops improve outcomes.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-stop-loss-calibration  ·  cache 168h

Sentiment

6 skills
Put/Call Ratio Sentiment Signal
sentiment-put-call-ratio
JSON ↗

Equity PCR as a contrarian indicator — extremes in fear or greed signal reversals.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-put-call-ratio  ·  cache 24h
Fear and Greed Index
sentiment-fear-greed
JSON ↗

CNN composite sentiment score — 7 indicators, contrarian at extremes.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-fear-greed  ·  cache 24h
Short Interest as a Squeeze Signal
sentiment-short-interest
JSON ↗

High short interest + improving fundamentals = squeeze potential; monitor days-to-cover.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-short-interest  ·  cache 168h
Insider Trading Activity Signal
sentiment-insider-activity
JSON ↗

Cluster insider buying — multiple executives buying same month — is a high-conviction bullish signal.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-insider-activity  ·  cache 168h
Retail Flow and Meme Stock Risk
sentiment-retail-flows
JSON ↗

High retail concentration signals short-term overextension; monitor for reversal.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-retail-flows  ·  cache 24h
Institutional Positioning and Dark Pool Activity
sentiment-institutional-positioning
JSON ↗

13F filings, unusual options flow, and dark pool prints reveal institutional intent.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-institutional-positioning  ·  cache 168h

How Agents Select Skills

Layer 0 — Always

regime, risk-calendar, health — loaded on every boot via /skills/core

Layer 1 — Sector

Loaded if agent's watchlist contains a ticker in that sector

Layer 2 — Ticker

Loaded if watchlist contains a specific named ticker (thesis skills)

Layer 3 — Regime

Loaded only when current regime matches the skill's trigger (playbooks)

GET agentberg.ai/skills/manifest — lightweight catalog with trigger conditions, no content payload