Agentberg Terminal v0.3

Agent Skills

79 skills · 24h cache

Synthesised market intelligence that any agent can pull in one call — sector outlooks, investment theses, macro signals, regime playbooks, and risk frameworks. Backed by live data, not training data.

Critical — Auto-synced on Agent Boot

These three skills are bundled into /skills/core and loaded automatically every time an agent starts. No manual call needed.

regime
JSON ↗

Market regime classification: trending_bull / trending_bear / range_bound / high_vol — with strategy verdict and SPY/VIX data.

GET /skills/regime
risk-calendar
JSON ↗

Known catalysts in the next 14 days: FOMC, CPI, OpEx, major earnings — with impact ratings and position sizing guidance.

GET /skills/risk-calendar
health
JSON ↗

Market internals: breadth (SPY vs RSP), credit (HYG trend), volatility (VIX vs avg) → healthy / mixed / stressed label with sizing recommendation.

GET /skills/health
# Starter kit — auto-called on every boot
agentberg.get_skills() GET /skills/core
# Returns bundled regime + risk_calendar + health in one call

Skill Catalog — 79 Skills

GET /skills/manifest  ·  GET /skills/catalog/{id}

Agents fetch the manifest once, select only the skills relevant to their watchlist and regime, then request full content on demand. A 5-sector agent should load 5-10 skills per run — never all 79.

Sector Context

11 skills
Technology Sector Context
sector-technology
JSON ↗

AI infrastructure cycle, semiconductor dynamics, cloud spend, and valuation. Sector -0.1% YTD (2026-07).

Technology AAPL MSFT NVDA AMD +7
GET /skills/catalog/sector-technology  ·  cache 168h
Healthcare Sector Context
sector-healthcare
JSON ↗

Biosimilar wave, drug pricing regulation, managed care dynamics, biotech pipeline.

Health Care Healthcare UNH CVS ABT JNJ +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-healthcare  ·  cache 168h
Financials Sector Context
sector-financials
JSON ↗

Rate environment impact, credit quality, bank NIM dynamics, capital markets.

Financials JPM BAC GS MS +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-financials  ·  cache 168h
Energy Sector Context
sector-energy
JSON ↗

Energy sector -4.9% YTD. The energy sector remains pressured by subdued crude oil pricing dynamics and lingering geopolitical risk uncertainty, limiting immediate upside momentum.

Energy XOM CVX COP SLB +6
GET /skills/catalog/sector-energy  ·  cache 168h
Communication Services Context
sector-communication
JSON ↗

Digital advertising cycle, streaming competition, AI-driven ad targeting.

Communication Services Communication META GOOGL NFLX DIS +5
GET /skills/catalog/sector-communication  ·  cache 168h
Consumer Discretionary Sector Context
sector-consumer-discretionary
JSON ↗

Bifurcated consumer, stretched credit, moderating labor market.

Consumer Discretionary AMZN TSLA HD MCD +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-consumer-discretionary  ·  cache 168h
Consumer Staples Sector Context
sector-consumer-staples
JSON ↗

Defensive bid, pricing power, GLP-1 portfolio adaptation pressure.

Consumer Staples KO PEP WMT COST +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-consumer-staples  ·  cache 168h
Industrials Sector Context
sector-industrials
JSON ↗

AI power demand, onshoring capex, aerospace backlog — secular tailwinds.

Industrials CAT DE HON RTX +9
GET /skills/catalog/sector-industrials  ·  cache 168h
Materials Sector Context
sector-materials
JSON ↗

Copper structural deficit, gold safe-haven, infrastructure baseline demand.

Materials FCX NEM LIN APD +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-materials  ·  cache 168h
Real Estate Sector Context
sector-real-estate
JSON ↗

K-shaped recovery: data center REITs booming, office structurally impaired.

Real Estate PLD EQIX AMT SPG +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-real-estate  ·  cache 168h
Utilities Sector Context
sector-utilities
JSON ↗

AI power demand reverses decades of stagnant load growth — structural tailwind.

Utilities NEE DUK SO D +8
GET /skills/catalog/sector-utilities  ·  cache 168h

Investment Theses

17 skills
AI Infrastructure Supercycle
thesis-ai-infrastructure
JSON ↗

Hyperscaler capex, semiconductor demand, power and cooling, edge inference buildout.

trending_bull range_bound NVDA AMD MSFT AMZN +8
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-ai-infrastructure  ·  cache 336h
Rate Normalization Trade
thesis-rate-environment
JSON ↗

Fed still paused at 3.50-3.75%; oil collapse may bring forward cuts — rate-sensitive sector pre-positioning window.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials O AMT PLD NEE +7
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-rate-environment  ·  cache 168h
GLP-1 Obesity Drug Supercycle
thesis-glp1-obesity
JSON ↗

Expanding indications, oral formulations, and second-order effects on retail/food.

Health Care Healthcare Consumer Staples +1 more LLY NVO VKTX ISRG +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-glp1-obesity  ·  cache 336h
Nuclear Energy Renaissance
thesis-nuclear-renaissance
JSON ↗

AI hyperscalers funding nuclear restarts; SMRs approaching commercialization.

trending_bull range_bound Utilities Energy Industrials CEG CCJ OKLO NXE +3
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-nuclear-renaissance  ·  cache 336h
Defense Spending Supercycle
thesis-defense-spending
JSON ↗

Multipolar geopolitical realignment driving multi-decade NATO and Indo-Pacific procurement growth.

Industrials LMT RTX NOC GD +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-defense-spending  ·  cache 336h
Power Grid Modernization for AI
thesis-grid-modernization
JSON ↗

Trillions in grid capex as AI datacenter load growth hits physical infrastructure bottleneck.

Industrials Utilities ETN GEV PWR HUBB +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-grid-modernization  ·  cache 336h
US Manufacturing Reshoring Wave
thesis-reshoring
JSON ↗

CHIPS Act, IRA, and tariffs driving domestic factory construction and automation demand.

Industrials Materials Technology CAT ROK URI DE +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-reshoring  ·  cache 336h
Cybersecurity AI Arms Race
thesis-cybersecurity
JSON ↗

AI-weaponized attacks rendering legacy security obsolete — platform consolidation accelerating.

Technology PANW CRWD ZS FTNT +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-cybersecurity  ·  cache 336h
De-dollarization and Hard Asset Run
thesis-dedollarization
JSON ↗

Central bank reserve diversification away from fiat driving gold and commodity bull market.

Materials Energy GLD NEM AEM FNV +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-dedollarization  ·  cache 336h
Aging Population Healthcare Demand
thesis-aging-population
JSON ↗

Baby Boomer cohort entering peak chronic disease and elective procedure years.

Health Care Healthcare Real Estate WELL ISRG UNH HCA +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-aging-population  ·  cache 336h
EV and Battery Storage Transition
thesis-ev-battery
JSON ↗

EV adoption normalizing; battery storage for grid and datacenters is the faster-growing leg.

Consumer Discretionary Materials Utilities TSLA ALB SQM RIVN +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-ev-battery  ·  cache 336h
Water Scarcity and Infrastructure
thesis-water-scarcity
JSON ↗

Aging water infrastructure and drought frequency creating multi-decade upgrade cycle.

Utilities Industrials AWK XYL WTRG ECL +2
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-water-scarcity  ·  cache 336h
Fintech and Digital Finance Disruption
thesis-fintech-disruption
JSON ↗

Embedded finance and AI underwriting displacing traditional banks in high-margin segments.

Financials Technology V MA SQ AFRM +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-fintech-disruption  ·  cache 336h
China Risk and Supply Chain Decoupling
thesis-china-risk
JSON ↗

US-China tension escalation and China economic slowdown — defensive positioning framework.

Technology Consumer Discretionary Materials AAPL NVDA QCOM NKE +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-china-risk  ·  cache 168h
Commercial Space Economy
thesis-space-economy
JSON ↗

Launch cost collapse enabling satellite broadband, earth observation, and LEO services.

Industrials Communication Services Technology RKLB ASTS LUNR NOC +4
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-space-economy  ·  cache 336h
Institutional Crypto Adoption
thesis-crypto-institutional
JSON ↗

Bitcoin ETF infrastructure enabling sovereign wealth, pension, and corporate treasury adoption.

trending_bull range_bound Financials Technology COIN MSTR HOOD SQ +3
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-crypto-institutional  ·  cache 168h
Semiconductor Cycle and TSMC Dependency
thesis-semiconductor-cycle
JSON ↗

AI chip demand distorting the classic semi cycle; foundry geopolitics is the critical risk.

Technology TSM ASML AMAT LRCX +5
GET /skills/catalog/thesis-semiconductor-cycle  ·  cache 336h

Commodities

6 skills
WTI Crude Oil Market Context
commodity-oil
JSON ↗

WTI ~$85/bbl. Crude oil prices are supported by persistent geopolitical tensions and shipping disruptions in the Red Sea. However, price upside is partially constrained by normalizing trade flows and unexpected inventory builds in the U.S.

Energy XOM CVX COP EOG +6
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-oil  ·  cache 24h
Natural Gas Market Context
commodity-natural-gas
JSON ↗

AI power demand and LNG exports creating structural demand floor under weak prices.

Energy Utilities EQT AR SWN RRC +4
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-natural-gas  ·  cache 24h
Gold Market Context
commodity-gold
JSON ↗

De-dollarization and central bank buying driving structurally higher gold prices.

trending_bear high_vol Materials GLD NEM AEM FNV +4
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-gold  ·  cache 24h
Copper Market Context
commodity-copper
JSON ↗

Structural deficit as electrification demand outpaces supply — smelting bottlenecks amplifying.

Materials Industrials FCX SCCO TECK CMMC +3
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-copper  ·  cache 24h
Uranium Market Context
commodity-uranium
JSON ↗

Nuclear renaissance and mine underproduction driving structural bull market in uranium.

Energy Utilities CCJ NXE UEC DNN +3
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-uranium  ·  cache 168h
Lithium Market Context
commodity-lithium
JSON ↗

Recovering from oversupply trough; ESS demand is faster-growing than EV.

Materials Consumer Discretionary ALB SQM LTHM LAC +2
GET /skills/catalog/commodity-lithium  ·  cache 168h

Macro & Rates

8 skills
Yield Curve (2s10s) Signal
macro-yield-curve
JSON ↗

2Y-10Y Treasury spread as a leading indicator for recession, credit, and sector rotation.

Financials Real Estate Utilities TLT IEF SHY JPM +4
GET /skills/catalog/macro-yield-curve  ·  cache 24h
US Dollar (DXY) Strength Signal
macro-dollar-strength
JSON ↗

Dollar strength headwinds for international revenue, commodities, and EM.

Technology Materials Energy +1 more AAPL MSFT NVDA META +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-dollar-strength  ·  cache 24h
Credit Spreads (HYG/LQD) Risk Signal
macro-credit-spreads
JSON ↗

High yield vs investment grade spread as the most reliable liquidity and default risk indicator.

HYG LQD JNK IEF +1
GET /skills/catalog/macro-credit-spreads  ·  cache 24h
Inflation Regime Context
macro-inflation-regime
JSON ↗

Core CPI stickiness at 2.7% delaying Fed cuts — impact by sector.

Consumer Staples Real Estate Utilities +1 more TLT IEF TIPS O +3
GET /skills/catalog/macro-inflation-regime  ·  cache 24h
Fed Pivot Playbook
macro-fed-pivot
JSON ↗

Positioning for when Fed resumes cutting — rate-sensitive sector rotation framework.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials TLT IEF O PLD +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-fed-pivot  ·  cache 24h
Labor Market Signal
macro-jobs-market
JSON ↗

NFP and unemployment as the Fed's primary trigger — hot vs cold jobs mean opposite trades.

Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Financials SPY QQQ XLY XLP +1
GET /skills/catalog/macro-jobs-market  ·  cache 24h
China Economic Signal
macro-china-economy
JSON ↗

China PMI and growth as a leading indicator for global commodities and EM.

Materials Energy Technology +1 more FCX XOM CLF NUE +5
GET /skills/catalog/macro-china-economy  ·  cache 24h
Geopolitical Risk Framework
macro-geopolitical-risk
JSON ↗

Middle East, US-China, and Russia-Ukraine risk premium across sectors.

high_vol trending_bear Energy Industrials Technology XOM CVX LMT RTX +4
GET /skills/catalog/macro-geopolitical-risk  ·  cache 24h

Volatility

5 skills
VIX-Based Position Sizing
vol-vix-levels
JSON ↗

Scale position size inversely with VIX using K_vix = VIX_baseline / VIX_current.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/vol-vix-levels  ·  cache 24h
IV Rank and IV Percentile
vol-iv-rank
JSON ↗

Where current IV sits relative to its own history — determines sell vs buy premium.

GET /skills/catalog/vol-iv-rank  ·  cache 168h
Earnings Options Strategies
vol-earnings-plays
JSON ↗

Pre-earnings IV run-up vs post-earnings IV crush — two distinct strategy windows.

AAPL MSFT NVDA AMZN +6
GET /skills/catalog/vol-earnings-plays  ·  cache 168h
VIX Term Structure and Futures Curve
vol-term-structure
JSON ↗

Contango vs backwardation in VIX futures as a regime stress indicator.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/vol-term-structure  ·  cache 24h
Options Skew Signal
vol-skew
JSON ↗

Put vs call skew reveals directional sentiment and hedging pressure.

GET /skills/catalog/vol-skew  ·  cache 168h

Options Strategies

3 skills
The Options Wheel Strategy
options-wheel
JSON ↗

Sell CSP → take assignment → sell CC → repeat. Income generation on quality stocks.

trending_bull range_bound AAPL MSFT SPY QQQ +4
GET /skills/catalog/options-wheel  ·  cache 336h
Covered Call Income Strategy
options-covered-calls
JSON ↗

Sell calls above current price on existing holdings to generate 1-3% monthly income.

trending_bull range_bound
GET /skills/catalog/options-covered-calls  ·  cache 336h
Protective Puts as Portfolio Insurance
options-protective-puts
JSON ↗

Buy OTM puts on holdings or SPY/QQQ as tail-risk insurance during low-VIX periods.

trending_bull range_bound SPY QQQ
GET /skills/catalog/options-protective-puts  ·  cache 336h

Regime Playbooks

7 skills
Bear Regime Defense Playbook
regime-bear-defense
JSON ↗

Capital preservation, short bias tactics, defensive rotation in bear markets.

trending_bear high_vol
GET /skills/catalog/regime-bear-defense  ·  cache 24h
Bull Momentum Regime Playbook
regime-bull-momentum
JSON ↗

Trend-following, full position sizing, buy breakouts and sector leaders.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/regime-bull-momentum  ·  cache 24h
Range-Bound Regime Playbook
regime-range-bound-playbook
JSON ↗

Mean reversion, premium selling, iron condors — trend strategies fail here.

range_bound
GET /skills/catalog/regime-range-bound-playbook  ·  cache 24h
High Volatility Regime Playbook
regime-high-vol-playbook
JSON ↗

Capital preservation first. Sell premium on quality names, watch for mean reversion.

high_vol
GET /skills/catalog/regime-high-vol-playbook  ·  cache 24h
Fed Pivot Transition Playbook
regime-fed-pivot-playbook
JSON ↗

Positioning during the pause-to-cut transition — the most powerful sector rotation setup.

range_bound trending_bull Real Estate Utilities Financials
GET /skills/catalog/regime-fed-pivot-playbook  ·  cache 24h
Earnings Season Playbook
regime-earnings-season
JSON ↗

January, April, July, October — reduce single-stock risk, increase ETF exposure.

GET /skills/catalog/regime-earnings-season  ·  cache 24h
Year-End Seasonality Playbook
regime-year-end
JSON ↗

Tax-loss harvesting (Nov), Santa rally (Dec), January effect (Jan) — repeatable patterns.

GET /skills/catalog/regime-year-end  ·  cache 168h

Individual Tickers

10 skills
NVIDIA (NVDA) — AI Infrastructure Monopoly
ticker-nvda
JSON ↗

80%+ GPU market share in AI training; Blackwell cycle; pricing power through 2027.

NVDA
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-nvda  ·  cache 336h
Apple (AAPL) — Services Flywheel and AI Upgrade Cycle
ticker-aapl
JSON ↗

Services revenue growing 15%+ YoY; iPhone AI features driving replacement cycle.

AAPL
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-aapl  ·  cache 336h
Microsoft (MSFT) — Azure + Copilot AI Monetization
ticker-msft
JSON ↗

Azure accelerating with AI workloads; GitHub Copilot enterprise adoption ramping.

MSFT
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-msft  ·  cache 336h
Meta Platforms (META) — Ad Machine + AI Infrastructure
ticker-meta
JSON ↗

AI ad targeting driving CPM expansion; Llama models as open-source moat.

META
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-meta  ·  cache 336h
Tesla (TSLA) — FSD Optionality vs EV Competition
ticker-tsla
JSON ↗

FSD and Robotaxi are the long-term value driver; EV manufacturing remains the cash engine.

TSLA
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-tsla  ·  cache 336h
Amazon (AMZN) — AWS Profit Engine + Advertising Breakout
ticker-amzn
JSON ↗

AWS is 75%+ of operating profit; advertising is the fastest-growing high-margin segment.

AMZN
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-amzn  ·  cache 336h
Alphabet (GOOGL) — Search Monopoly Under AI Disruption
ticker-googl
JSON ↗

Search generates $200B+ revenue; AI Overviews risk offset by YouTube and GCP growth.

GOOGL GOOG
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-googl  ·  cache 336h
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) — Best-in-Class Mega Bank
ticker-jpm
JSON ↗

Diversified revenue, capital markets revival, and fortress balance sheet.

JPM
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-jpm  ·  cache 336h
Eli Lilly (LLY) — GLP-1 Leader and Pipeline Depth
ticker-lly
JSON ↗

Mounjaro/Zepbound dominating obesity market; cardiovascular and Alzheimer pipeline.

LLY
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-lly  ·  cache 336h
ExxonMobil (XOM) — Integrated Supermajor and Pioneer Synergies
ticker-xom
JSON ↗

Pioneer acquisition accretive; $20B/year buyback; AI power creating natural gas long-term tailwind.

XOM
GET /skills/catalog/ticker-xom  ·  cache 336h

Risk Management

5 skills
Position Sizing Framework
risk-position-sizing
JSON ↗

Regime and health overlays on base 5% per position — the math behind staying in the game.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-position-sizing  ·  cache 168h
Sector Concentration Limits
risk-sector-concentration
JSON ↗

Maximum sector exposure rules to prevent correlated sector blowups.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-sector-concentration  ·  cache 168h
Portfolio Correlation Management
risk-correlation
JSON ↗

Avoid correlated bets — in crises, all correlations go to 1.0.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/risk-correlation  ·  cache 168h
Maximum Drawdown Rules
risk-max-drawdown
JSON ↗

Hard stops at the portfolio level before individual position stops — protect survival.

high_vol trending_bear
GET /skills/catalog/risk-max-drawdown  ·  cache 168h
Stop-Loss Calibration by Regime
risk-stop-loss-calibration
JSON ↗

Fixed stops cause unnecessary exits in volatile markets; dynamic stops improve outcomes.

GET /skills/catalog/risk-stop-loss-calibration  ·  cache 168h

Sentiment

6 skills
Put/Call Ratio Sentiment Signal
sentiment-put-call-ratio
JSON ↗

Equity PCR as a contrarian indicator — extremes in fear or greed signal reversals.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-put-call-ratio  ·  cache 24h
Fear and Greed Index
sentiment-fear-greed
JSON ↗

CNN composite sentiment score — 7 indicators, contrarian at extremes.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-fear-greed  ·  cache 24h
Short Interest as a Squeeze Signal
sentiment-short-interest
JSON ↗

High short interest + improving fundamentals = squeeze potential; monitor days-to-cover.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-short-interest  ·  cache 168h
Insider Trading Activity Signal
sentiment-insider-activity
JSON ↗

Cluster insider buying — multiple executives buying same month — is a high-conviction bullish signal.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-insider-activity  ·  cache 168h
Retail Flow and Meme Stock Risk
sentiment-retail-flows
JSON ↗

High retail concentration signals short-term overextension; monitor for reversal.

trending_bull
GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-retail-flows  ·  cache 24h
Institutional Positioning and Dark Pool Activity
sentiment-institutional-positioning
JSON ↗

13F filings, unusual options flow, and dark pool prints reveal institutional intent.

GET /skills/catalog/sentiment-institutional-positioning  ·  cache 168h

How Agents Select Skills

Layer 0 — Always

regime, risk-calendar, health — loaded on every boot via /skills/core

Layer 1 — Sector

Loaded if agent's watchlist contains a ticker in that sector

Layer 2 — Ticker

Loaded if watchlist contains a specific named ticker (thesis skills)

Layer 3 — Regime

Loaded only when current regime matches the skill's trigger (playbooks)

GET agentberg.ai/skills/manifest — lightweight catalog with trigger conditions, no content payload